2020-09-18 • Actualizada
S&P dropped from the heights of 3 585 at the beginning of the month for “accusations” of being too optimistic and overheated. Since then, it has been bouncing between 3 325 and 3 425 in a sideways movement. Currently, it’s in the course of the third bounce upwards. Despite fears of dipping further below the support channel of 3 310 – 3 325, so far the technical panorama suggests that it will go up to the resistance range of 3 425 – 3 440. If we look at specific stocks, though, indeed they trade differently. Which of them is worth buying now? Those which are at the local lowest lows. So let’s find them.
Like the rest of the stock market, Apple fell from 138 to the current 110. The yearly event they had on September 15 did not spark any bullish activity – if not increased the gravity to the downside. There are observers who comment that Apple may be not the best stock to buy. But from the technical perspective, there may hardly be a better moment in the nearest future. The surge Apple had in August may be seen as a deviation from the main upward channel it has been in since March. Now, it is back right into this channel, and unless it breaks away from it into lower ranges of below 100, you may well assume it is up for a rise.
Using the same technique with Netflix, we will see that its share price is now right at the bottom of the major channel it has been going through – even long before the virus came. Also, we see two clear zones: the resistance range of 555 – 565 which saw the price bounce downwards twice, and the support channel of 465 – 470, where the price is right now and which will probably see it go upwards again pretty soon. Intermediary resistance of 510 will be the checkpoint to confirm that the price is likely to continue the upward march once it is there. Wait for reversal though – as beautiful as it seems, the idea of a bullish reversal at 470 needs to be fact-checked first.
Just for a change, Facebook offers an interesting layout. When it started the recovery in March, it took quite an aggressive vertical trajectory. In May, it slowed down the growth stabilizing around 240 and going in a linear trajectory as in the chart below. In August, it went all-in again to reach 305 and fell from there to the current 250. Now, there are two alternatives: either this stock will drop even further to get back to that linear equilateral channel to bottom at 240 and get up, or it will bottom out at 250 and reverse to take a more aggressive march upwards. Therefore, watch for reversal signs, and check the channels.
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 39600... Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 39750... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Compras intradía sobre 39150
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 18100 con TP1:17900, TP2:17814 y 17630 // Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 18130 con TP: 18219, TP2: 18270 y TP3: 18428
Escenario Alcista: Compras sobre 17910 con TP:18098.07, TP2:18277 y TP3: 18415 Escenario Bajista: Ventas por debajo de 17850 con TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 2200 / 2194... Escenario alcista más próximo: Compras sobre 2197... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Considera compras en torno a cada zona de demanda...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 5220 ... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 5225 (Si el precio falla en romper por debajo con decisión)
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